Living and Working in Charleston SC

Entries from November 2007

The Good The Bad and The Ugly About The Charleston Real Estate Market

November 27, 2007 · 7 Comments

What are the questions people want answers to when it comes to our market?  It depends on who you are.  We come into contact with different groups of people.  Investors from outside the area that don’t know our market want to know is this is a good time to buy here or not.  The answer is clear.  Definitely not.  It’s pretty difficult to find a property that will cash flow because our prices have outpaced rent rates.  And our market has almost certainly not hit its bottom.   Another question is, how low will it go?  We really don’t know what will happen here since the supply of buyers has shrunk so rapidly.  Many of the buyers we were working with in 2005/6 were 100% financing either by necessity or choice.  Most of those would not qualify by today’s practices since the mortgage meltdown.  Sales in my backyard, the more affordable Summerville, have shrunk to half of last years number of August and September.  The buyers simply are not out there.  Inventory levels on the other hand are increasing beyond the 10 month level.  We thought we might not see this out in Summerville, but it’s here.   Is there a silver lining for buyers?  In 2005, homes that were priced correctly and in decent shape were selling in less than 30 days, with the average in many areas of Charleston being around 60 days.  What this meant to buyers is that they had to make decisions very quickly, or face starting the search process over again, only to be rushed again.  Sales/List prices were over 99%.  The big topic at real estate sales meetings was negotiating multiple contract scenarios.  At this time, most everyone, including many experienced investors, expected the trend of appreciation to continue.  There was no hesitation on the part of buyers, because the appreciation trend had been on a steady path for over 10 years.  We had little reason to believe differently.  Today, buyers are in the driver’s seat.  There is much more selection.  Sellers are much more anxious when they get some attention from one of the few real live buyers.  And if things don’t work out on the first pass, there is plenty more to choose from.  In fact, you’ll already have three or four choices lined if you’re working with a decent agent.  While the average sales prices will probably go down some more, it is possible to beat the curve if you do the right things in the buying process.  If this explanation doesn’t provide you with enough assurance to take the plunge you can always rent for six months and see what happens.  I’ve done enough moving for three people, and as painful as it is, this too shall pass, and before you know it, you’re settled into your new home.  In six months, there is still going to be 10-12 months of inventory, and prices are either going to be the same, or just slightly lower.  I’m referring to averages.  If you’d like specific information about certain communities like downtown or Isle of Palms or West Ashley, I’m happy to provide it within reason.   Please use the blog so that everyone can see your question and my response. 

Categories: Uncategorized

Events Calender is Maturing Nicely

November 15, 2007 · Leave a Comment

Just a quick note.  If you’re looking for someplace online to find out what’s going on in Charleston, or if you have an event you’d like to post, try

http://www.charlestonsfinest.com/calendar/events/index.php

 It’s becoming very popular.  Also, please let us know what you think.  We’re considering adding it to the rest of our directories and we’d like your thoughts.  Have a great day!

Categories: Having Fun

Worst Market for Sellers and Realtors since, well I’m not sure

November 14, 2007 · 2 Comments

Sales Units for October were at their lowest level since January 2004, but inventory levels are double at about 12 months, versus 6 months in January 2004.  I’m not going to go back and do the research to find the answer…it’s bad.  Less than 850 agents had a sale in October, (out of about 4500), and 300 of those more than one.  (its takes at least 2/mo to have a viable business)  My business is way down in spite of our web presence.  Many of you with whom I am in contact are having difficult selling your homes.  Therefore, you can’t come here and work with me to find your home here in Charleston. 

The saddest news is for homeowners that bought at the peak, which was June 2005.  Prices are finally dropping a bit, and sellers that need to sell becuase of a job change, divorce, etc. are feeling the pinch.  Real Estate companies are advertising that this is a great time to buy.  I guess if you represent a lot of sellers, you owe it to them to present things in the best light.  I happen to think the public is smart enough to see through the smoke and mirrors.  While I’m not happy about what it’s doing to  my income, I’d rather deal with that, than have my buyer clients come up short.  Consequently, I’ve taken on some management consulting work for some small businesses and am very pleased to have it. 

Sorry to be the bearer of bad news.  I simply refuse to spin it.  It’s going to get better; and I’m not one to speculate when.  Others are saying spring of 2009.  So, if you want to get in now knowing that it might get a little worse before it gets better, you’ll be taking a risk.  Wise investment has a lot to do with managing risk.  If my son was taking a job in Charleston right now, and he was going to be here for awhile, I’d say rent for six months and see if inventories are continuing to rise.  If you’d like to know precisely when the inventory and sales trend changes, stay tuned to www.allthingscharleston.com.   

Categories: Charleston Neighborhoods · Make Your Move - Charleston Real Estate Problems, Tips